![]() In the next chart, focus on the amount of pitches low and away to Posey courtesy of : Since Posey makes consistent contact and actually improved his plate discipline by cutting his O-Swing (swings and misses outside the strike zone), could it be the way he’s pitched? Taking the research a step deeper and with the knowledge Posey will not face left-handed pitching on the road enough to reach 20 home runs again, what will it take for him to reach 15, something he’s not accomplished in either of the last two years. Although the information demonstrates trends in Posey’s statistics, it does not answer any questions about power returning to his game. His slugging and isolated power splits should jump off the chart along with hit being his lowest home run per at-bat ratio. Especially when rated last in both Fantasy Alarm’s and ESPN’s ballpark effects in home runs allowed.ĭaily fantasy players understand how well Posey fares versus southpaws, which the chart punctuates. Shifting to his home and road splits, it’s not surprising to see Posey hit for a higher isolated power away from AT&T Park. ![]() When getting power from Posey, it’s before the All-Star game. It’s prevalent in his last three year splits by each half and consistent in his career. Starting with the halves, it’s apparent Posey starts the season strong either tiring in the second half or not focusing on power. As a primer, here’s a chart noting his splits by halves, where he plays and type of pitcher: There’s multiple moving pieces in regards to this question and for starters, diagnosing Posey’s splits seems like an important place to begin. If he’s still hitting with decent exit velocity, what’s causing the home run production to decline? In spite of the power reduction in terms of home runs, Posey’s recorded the 10th best hard contact of catchers with at least 300 plate appearances the last three years at 34.7-percent. He’s one of baseball’s best hitters at a position of need. 308/.380/.455 with a 10-percent walk rate versus a 10.3 strikeout percentage. Using his statistics from the past three years, Posey slashed. He’s averaged 146 games played over the last six seasons. To be honest, never owned Posey in a format such as the NFBC, preferring to try and find catchers in a good situation with some potential for growth.ĭurability proves to be another factor in Posey’s overall value. ![]() In spite of playing half of his games in a ballpark which depresses runs and fly ball effects, will fantasy owners be hesitant to take Posey at his present price point in spite of the reduced cost? Scarcity drives much of Posey’s value due to his production at a position which can be a drain on many fantasy teams due to lower counting statistics and lower batting averages. Posey hit a career high 24 in 2012 but he’s been in decline with the lowest total of his career last season during the fly ball revolution and the rumors of a juiced ball.Īs a result, his draft price seems much more palatable in the fourth round then his previous levels. One year removed from being a second round selection in the 15-team format, Posey’s consistent batting average does not hold the same appeal as when he used to hit more home runs. While perusing early draft average draft positions, seeing Buster Posey lasting until the fourth round in most drafts seems strange.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |